The Impact of GST on the Indian Economy

The-Impact-of-GST-on-the-Indian-Economy-1024x536 The Impact of GST on the Indian Economy

Introduction: The Story of GST in India

India has entered a tax transformation that transformed the economic environment of the country on the night of July 1, 2017. The introduction of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) put an end to a maze of state and central taxes, including excise, VAT, entry tax and service tax. The ambitious vision of GST was to implement the One Nation, One Tax, and stop the cascading taxation and start a new era of compliance and transparency. The dramatic midnight Parliament session, a prelude to GST, represented a new unified market integration strategy in all the Indian states.

What Is GST and When Was It Implemented?

GST is a destination-based, indirect tax on the supply of goods and services. Its essence lies in removing the burden of multiple taxes from businesses and consumers, thereby abolishing the cascading effect of tax-on-tax. Adopted by India as the 161st country in the world to do so, GST was implemented on July 1, 2017. Its dual structure, Central GST (CGST), State GST (SGST), and Integrated GST (IGST), allows both the Centre and states to levy tax. Originally, GST featured several slabs: 0%, 5%, 12%, 18%, and 28%, with compensation cesses on certain luxury and sin goods.

Key takeaways

  • Streamlined tax regime: The new reform drastically cuts down the number of GST slabs to two main rates, which are 5 per cent (merit goods) and 18 per cent (standard goods), with a luxury/sin tax of 40 per cent.
  • Lowering the Prices on Necessities: The household commodities, consumer needs and farm inputs are now classified into the 5 per cent slab in a bid to increase the disposable income.
  • Tax on Electronics and Automobiles: Electronic appliances and small/hybrid vehicles have had their taxes lowered to 18% hence becoming cheaper.
  • Insurance Exemptions: Life and health insurance premiums are no longer subject to GST, and this has made social and economic security more accessible.
  • Increase in Rural and MSME Sectors: Agricultural products and inputs fall under the 5% slab, and MSMEs will find it easier to comply and have guaranteed faster refunds.
  • Increased Digitisation: The reform focuses on simplified, AI-enabled returns, real-time tracking, and a digitised dispute resolution system to be more transparent and efficient.
  • Economic Growth Potential: The reforms are meant to spur consumer demand, enhance production, promote formalisation of the economy and encourage investment.
  • Revenue Concerns: Critics express worries about the possible shortage of revenue to the government with the lower rates and continuous reimbursement problems in the state revenue sharing.
  • Implementation Problems: Notwithstanding the advantages, there are some issues that concern the extent to which tax cuts should be passed on to consumers.

Major Changes in the Latest GST Reform

In September 2025, a general overhaul in the GST Council in the form of GST 2.0 was announced, to take effect on September 22, 2025. The tax system is reorganised to make fewer primary GST rate slabs: there are now only two: 5% (merit) and 18 percent (standard). A luxury and sin tax 40% slab is set aside such as luxury products, such as luxury cars, cigarettes, and soft drinks.

Key highlights include:

  • Reduced tax rates on daily household commodities- consumer necessities, household utensils, some processed foodstuffs and farm inputs now receive half-toned treatment– 5 per cent.

  • Electronic and appliance taxes such as television sets, washing machines, air conditioners, etc., were reduced to 18 per cent and thus became cheaper.

  • The automobiles and auto parts will enjoy a cut in GST to 18% (small and hybrid vehicles) and 40% (large, luxury vehicles).
  • The GST has been removed in full on consumer insurance, such as life and health, and has a direct effect of reducing the premiums.
  • Cement and textile goods are cut down to 18 and 5 per cent, respectively and reduce input costs in construction and manufacturing.
  • Fertilisers, tractors, and machinery (rural and agricultural products) have now been classified under the 5% slab, increasing rural purchasing power.
  • Digitisation of refund and compliance processes is being advanced with simplified returns, real-time tracking, mandatory multi-factor authentication, and an enhanced tribunal system to settle disputes within a short time.

The core focus is to ease compliance, stimulate consumer confidence, reduce the cost of goods, and boost micro, small, and medium enterprise (MSME) competitiveness.

How Taxes Affect the Economy

GST is one of the taxes that has a big impact on three main pillars, which include: consumer behaviour, business investment and government revenue.

  • When the taxes levied on basics are lowered, the power of consumer spending increases and consumer demand for goods and services increases.
  • Both discourage the consumption and also create revenue for the government through high taxes imposed on luxury and sin goods.
  • Complex taxes may even put a business off, and predictable taxes are simple and stimulate entrepreneurship and the formalisation of the economy.
  • The low taxes and definite mechanisms of the input tax credit decrease the cost of production, making the goods produced in India more competitive and providing more employment.
  • Consumer Price Index (CPI) and inflation react fast to the variation in indirect taxes- Reduction of the indirect taxes on everyday commodities can calm down general inflation and favour all households.
  • Finally, an effective, strong tax system increases the level of collection, increases the social expenditure of the government and increases foreign and domestic investment.

Critics’ Views on the New GST Update

Despite positive headlines, analytical voices continue to flag certain issues:

  • Simplifying the process, slab consolidation, nevertheless, creates an opportunity to have disagreements, in particular, in connection with borderline cases and product categories.
  • The cancellation of input tax credit in certain sectors of services (e.g., insurance, healthcare products) threatens to restore a set of cascading taxes, which was the initial idea of GST.
  • There is still an issue of whether low rates will affect the government’s income. The shift depends on increased compliance and the requirement to seal gaps; the fiscal deficit may increase.
  • Small businesses, regardless of new digital tools, report concern regarding documentation obstacles, e-way bill procedures and technological adoption.
  • The advantages of low-cost basic goods are also likely to affect the middle- and low-income populations the most, yet the concerns related to sectoral inequalities are also raised, even though certain exceptions and anomalies remain.
  • State governments are concerned over the sharing of revenue between states and the Centre, in particular, with compensation on tobacco and luxury goods being phased off.

Despite such caveats, GST’s simplification and digital focus attract broad support among industrial bodies, tax professionals, and the general public.

Can GST Affect the Indian Economy?

GST’s design and implementation are central to India’s economic journey. Its principal impacts:

  • Alternative Massive growth of formal economy: GST taxpayer base increased to more than 1.5 crore in 2025, compared to 66.5 lakh in 2017, and this is an indication of formalisation and transparency.
  • Indirect tax receipts were also in historic highs, increasing by almost 2 times between 2020-21 and 2024-25, to 22.1 lakh crore and ₹11.3 lakh crore respectively.
  • GST has also enhanced logistics by cutting down transit times by up to 20% and reducing logistics costs because it has eliminated state-level barriers.
  • The simplified input tax credit enhanced the fiscal well-being of manufacturing, export, and logistics corporations that making it possible to pursue the ambitions of Make in India.
  • Formalisation increased the tax base and raised predictability in revenues, which facilitated critical investments in infrastructure, health, and education.
  • Through the waiver of major health and life insurance payments, millions more households are given social and financial security, and this empowers the middle class.
  • Despite these successes, the implementation was not without short-term agony-price shocks, inflation, transitional working capital crunches and initial unemployment spikes were witnessed.

On the whole, GST remains an enduring pillar of India’s ambition to become a more business-friendly, integrated, and competitive global economy.

How Does the GST Affect the Indian Economy?

GST reform effects can be felt not only in statistics but also in the everyday life of the consumer and the business, and governmental organisations:

  • This has raised the level of India on the global platform as the World Bank ranking on the Ease of Doing Business has increased 67 points in the period between 2017 and 202,0, which is in large part due to GST.
  • GST collections have been experiencing long-term growth, and this gives governments additional funds to cater to welfare and development.
  • Industries such as the FMCG, consumer electronics, textiles, automobile, construction, and rural production are enjoying the benefits of lowered slabs and easier credits, which are boosting their volumes and cost benefits.
  • The MSMEs are the powerhouses of the rural and semi-urban economy, and this category of business enjoys easier compliance, quicker refunds, and online records, which ensure that they can compete and develop.
  • Indian goods are now cheaper in the global market because of zero-rating on exports, leading to manufacturing and employment.
  • The electronic footprint of GST (returns, input credits, real-time tracking) would make the avoidance more difficult, level the playing field, and increase the overall productivity.
  • With an intensification of GST rationalisation, the sectoral anomalies that have existed, e.g. inverted duty structures and imbalanced inputs and outputs, are fixed, enhancing equity in inter-industry situations.

However, unpredictable revenue swings and implementation glitches still pose risks, and the journey for truly seamless compliance continues.

Expected Changes: What Lies Ahead for GST

With GST 2.0 set to roll out in late September 2025, India’s tax environment is poised for a landmark transformation:

  • Single-page, AI-enabled tax returns will reduce compliance time for businesses of all sizes.
  • The digitised dispute resolution tribunal is expected to clear legacy cases and make GST litigation far more predictable.
  • Mandatory e-invoicing and real-time input tax credit validation will enhance transparency for manufacturers and traders.
  • Digitisation will make refunds near-instant, unblocking working capital for exporters and high-turnover businesses.
  • The special 40% slab on luxury and ‘sin’ goods allows the government to balance revenue needs while ensuring most essential goods remain within reach for the masses.
  • State-level cooperation with the Centre is set for an overhaul, promoting dialogue around compensation, revenue neutrality, and timely fund transfers.
  • For the middle-class and rural households, the new GST promises genuine affordability across daily essentials, education, healthcare, and insurance, deepening financial inclusion.

For businesses, GST presents vast opportunities: deeper supply chain integration, cross-state expansion, and easier adoption of technology.

How Will the New GST Affect the Indian Economy?

The new GST reform has the potential to have a far-reaching and profound effect on the economic prospects of India, both beneficial and problematic to the system as it develops.

Expected Economic Effects

The drastic reduction in the prices of daily living, electronics, processed foods, and agribusiness inputs will see an improvement in disposable incomes, particularly among the middle and lower-income groups. This will boost the demand in FMCG, retail and the rural market.

  • The automobile industry will experience new growth cycles- the reduction of GST on small and hybrid cars will be accompanied by the festival season in India, and sales and new investments may record highs.

  • The affordability of housing and competitiveness of manufacturing in labour-intensive industries should increase as building materials such as cement and major textile inputs are brought down to lower GST rates, which will stimulate employment in the construction industry.

  • The GST exemption of the insurance industry will increase the popularity and affordability of health and life insurance coverage in line with the government’s objectives of universal insurance.

  • The low cost of agricultural machinery and inputs in the case of MSMEs and rural entrepreneurs will enable them to invest more in modern technologies, increase yield, income, and rural consumption.

  • In the case of luxury products, as well as goods considered harmful (tobacco, sugary drinks), the 40 per cent slab will not only prevent excessive consumption, but it will generate compensatory sources of revenue to the central and state governments.

Growth and Inclusivity Impacts

  • Broad tax cuts, infrastructure expenditure, and financial inclusion initiatives are likely to rocket consumer-led growth.

  • The new regime of GST, projected changes in the cash reserve ratio and reduction in the levels of the repo rates are flooding huge amounts of liquidity into the economy and spurring both consumer and corporate expenditure.

  • With a rising consumer demand, a virtuous cycle of production, employment, and growth is achieved as corporates invest in increasing capacity.

  • India is moving towards international best practice by preferring simplicity with selective protection to critical products – establishing a global investor assurance in the consistency and predictability of the tax regime.

Caveats and Sectoral Variations

  • Although the government anticipates that rate decreases would be compensated by an upsurge in consumption, other analysts caution of revenue failures that would affect fiscal health.
  • The reforms fail to eliminate all the anomalies- some sectors, particularly services, continue to struggle with classification and documentation issues.
  • States are still bargaining the best sharing formulas, because phase-outs of compensation terminations have impacts on their budgets.
  • Monitoring will be required to ensure that there is actually a passing on of the tax cuts to consumers, and adherence is high.

Conclusion

The Indian experience with GST has been an experiment with bold policies, learning and evolution. The new reforms are customised in a period of consumer-centred, inclusive growth. It will require proper execution and active tracking to make sure that the benefits will go to all stakeholders, rural farmers and small shopkeepers, as well as urban professionals and big companies. When implemented to potential, GST 2.0 will redefine the economic future of India historically in terms of efficiency, equity and opportunities.

Reference 

  1. https://www.pib.gov.in/PressNoteDetails.aspx?NoteId=155151&ModuleId=3
  2. https://www.kotakmf.com/Information/blogs/gst-2-point-0_
  3. https://www.visionias.in/blog/current-affairs/gst-reform-2025-indias-two-slab-tax-revolution

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